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Superstar AI researchers earn significantly more than their peers, with top earners making over ten times the average salary of AI postdocs. This disparity stems from economic dynamics where even slight differences in talent can lead to substantial differences in compensation.
AI chip supply chain bottlenecks, smuggling to China, benchmark saturation, revenue efficiency at AI companies, and more
Give up at least one of: text only, short time horizon, easy to grade, and expert human superiority.
In this episode, Greg Burnham and Tom Adamczewski join Anson Ho to push back on benchmark pessimism and dig into what the next generation of AI benchmarks could look like.
We estimate that between 290,000 and 1.6 million H100-equivalents (H100e) were smuggled to China through 2025. Our median estimate of 660,000 H100e would be roughly a third of China's total compute.
GPT-5.5 Pro achieves a new high score of 159 on the Epoch Capabilities Index — our statistical tool that combines multiple benchmarks into a unified scale.